Core Worksheets
Laure Paquette, Ph.D.
Lakehead University
Core Worksheets
What follows are descriptions, instructions and examples of ten core worksheets that can be used for the development or analysis of strategy in all its applications. This was developed in order to help people use or analyze strategy when it is not possible to be in immediate contact with their professor or trainer. Because the number of worksheets needed to be limited, they were chosen either to address the difficulties most common among people using strategy or in order to make a comprehensive analysis of a strategy’s environment. Some are harder to grasp than others. For each worksheet, there is an explanation of its purpose, a blank worksheet, a set of instructions on how to fill it out, and a sample. For all the worksheets, the samples are drawn from the same hypothetical situation, that of soldiers on patrol having captured a prisoner and returning to base camp over a two-day period.
The goal of the worksheets is not to provide an exhaustive (and exhausting) set of minutely described steps in order to reach a single correct conclusion. Rather, the intention here is to provide support for the art of designing or analyzing a strategy. In most cases, there are no single correct answers or correct ways to interpret the forms, and it is with trepidation that I even provide instructions, since what matters is the engagement of the individual or group filling these out, not identifying a foolproof way of getting the right answer. The worksheets are not necessarily obvious to use at first, and to be proficient the user needs to practice on average 6 or 7 times. Once the user is proficient, however, s/he should only use the worksheets when there is a problem to be solved or as long as it is necessary for the strategy or strategic analysis to be completed in his/her mind.
The ten worksheets are:
- Strategy
- Key Actors
- An Actor’s Actions or Tactics
- Resources A Strategy Can Draw On
- Rules of the Game
- All Other Factors
- Steps and Nodes
- Tactics and Counter Tactics
- Core Idea
- Integration Diary
Worksheet 1: Strategy
In this worksheet, the participant is expected to identify the components of a strategy to answer a particular challenge. As with the integration diary, the participant should use point form and no more than a single sheet to complete the worksheet. This will force him/her to be conceptually specific, and to choose among competing priorities. This way, the trainer can assess the judgment of the participant as well as his or her capacity to think using strategy with mètis. Those components are the problem, to be described succinctly in the top box, “Issue”; the solution to that problem that suits the participant best, again to be described succinctly in the middle box, “Goal”; and the steps that will have the participant reach the goal, or the method he plans to use, of the collection of actions s/he plans to use, in the bottom box, “Tactics.” A strategy need not be developed only in adversarial circumstances – it can be used to rise to a challenge of any type. But because it is demanding to develop and implement, it is usually only used in dire circumstances where there are at least one and usually many enemy players. As usual, the participant must be detailed, specific, succinct, and must stay at one level of generality or detail throughout the worksheet.
Worksheet 1: Strategy
Issue |
Goal |
Core idea |
Tactics 1. 2. 3. 4. |
As an example, let us assume that the camp would need to either give greater rest or care to exhausted or wounded troops, or that there are particular supplies or equipment that requires protection. Those would be placed in the camp where they would be the most protected. Hence, the core idea adopted below would be: “Let’s circle around the queen bee” with the rest of the troops being the worker bees around the hive.
Sample Worksheet 1
Issue tired troops in a hostile environment |
Goal provide secure, safe and restful environment for troops for one night |
Core idea let’s circle around the queen bee |
Tactics 1. identify most defensible location within accessible range 2. assign guard duty 3. assign tasks re: setting up camp 4. other |
Worksheet 2: Key Actors
In any strategy, there are a number of possible actors. Those actors can be individuals, groups, governments or even groups of governments. The actors can be involved in the planning of your own strategy, or be on the outside. They may be helpful to your strategy, neutral, or opposed to it. They may be conscious of your strategy or actions, or they may not. But most importantly, they may have an impact either on the tactics or the strategy itself you are analyzing or designing or carrying out. The goal of this worksheet is to identify which ones may have an impact, so that you can set the others aside and concentrate your energies on the actors who matter.
Worksheet 2: Key Actors
Your Goal | |
Your Latest Tactic | |
Latest Action or Event, if different from above | |
Your Possible Tactic A | |
Your Possible Tactic B | |
Your Possible Tactic C | |
Your Possible Tactic D | |
All Actors | Can this actor affect your achieving the goal? (Yes or No) | Can this actor affect your latest tactic or latest event? (Yes or No) | Can this actor affect any of your possible tactics? |
| Tactic A | Tactic B | Tactic C | Tactic D |
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Line 1: State what the goal of your strategy is.
Line 2: State what was your last action relevant to your strategy.
Line 3: State what was the last action or event, relevant to your strategy, on anybody’s part, but only if that action or event came after your last tactic.
Line 4-7: List the actions you are considering taking with respect to your strategy. You may consider up to four actions at a time.
Column 1: All Actors. You list a comprehensive list of actors in the first column. You may want to list them under various headings, such as civilian, military, domestic, foreign, army, navy, air force, etc. Do not be concerned about putting people or groups in the correct categories, just assure yourself that you list every individual and/or group possible. Ask yourself whether the groups listed ought to be broken down further into smaller groups – for example, should a foreign national government be listed as such, or should it be broken down into ministry of the interior, ministry of defense, legislators, executive council or cabinet, local government, etc. Once the comprehensive list of actors is established, the next column helps differentiate between significant and insignificant actors. Since the ongoing analysis is similarly and repeatedly reductionist. You will notice that Worksheet 2 lists a number of categories for people. Some people have influence because they are personally charismatic, or because they have some significant moral authority in a particular area. People with moral authority enjoy many of the same qualities and privileges as people with charisma. The difference between the two is that it is possible you share the charismatic person’s values and aspirations. Then there are people with access to decision-makers: they are their old friends, former schoolmates, co-workers from early days in career or political life, generous contributors to campaigns, stalwart supporters, or just generally powerful people like financiers or C.E.O.’s of major corporations. These individuals manage the contacts very carefully, so that, say, an introduction from them is both very significant and very difficult to obtain.
Column 2: A significant actor is one without whom it is impossible for the tactic cannot succeed. To be more specific, a significant actor can affect whether or not the tactic required can move the strategy toward the achievement of the goal. Ask yourself that question: who is it without whom a particular tactic is guaranteed to fail? Whose cooperation and support is essential to the success of that tactic? Which actor or actors have the power to affect the outcome? Who is, on the other hand, irrelevant? Are there actors whom you know stand no chance of affecting the outcome? Can they be spoilers? Are there other individuals or groups for which the same can be said? On the other hand, are there any groups or individuals who can affect the outcome? Are there any actors that present a picture of disproportionate influence or power on the outcome? Place the checkmarks as you go along, and then select for further analysis actors who are significant.
Since the ongoing analysis is similarly and repeatedly reductionist. You will notice that Worksheet 2 lists a number of categories for people. Some people have influence because they are personally charismatic, or because they have some significant moral authority in a particular area. People with moral authority enjoy many of the same qualities and privileges as people with charisma. The difference between the two is that it is possible you share the charismatic person’s values and aspirations. Then there are people with access to decision-makers: they are their old friends, former schoolmates, co-workers from early days in career or political life, generous contributors to campaigns, stalwart supporters, or just generally powerful people like financiers or C.E.O.’s of major corporations. These individuals manage the contacts very carefully, so that, say, an introduction from them is both very significant and very difficult to obtain.
Sample Worksheet 2 (Copy into worksheet 2)
Your Strategic Goal | Getting prisoner back to camp |
Your Latest Tactic | Setting up camp for the night |
Latest Action on anybody’s part, latest event | Night is falling |
Your Possible Tactic A | Order black out |
Your Possible Tactic B | Allow lights to be used |
Your Possible Tactic C | Allow minimal lights to be used |
Your Possible Tactic D | |
All Actors | Can this actor affect the military from achieving its goal? (Yes or No) | Can this actor affect the military’s latest tactic? (Yes or No) | Can this actor affect any of these possible tactics? |
| | Tactic A | Tactic B | Tactic C | Tactic D |
Squad Leader | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
Soldier 1 | Yes | Yes | No | No | No | |
Soldier 2 | Yes | Yes | No | No | No | |
Soldier 3 | Yes | Yes | No | No | No | |
Soldier 4 | Yes | Yes | No | No | No | |
Soldier 5 | Yes | Yes | No | No | No | |
Prisoner 1 | Yes | No | No | No | No | |
Nearby civilian 1 | Yes | No | No | No | No | |
Nearby civilian 2 | | Yes | No | No | No | No | |
Nearby civilian 3 | | Yes | No | No | No | No | |
Nearby civilian 4 | | Yes | No | No | No | No | |
Nearby civilian 5 | | Yes | No | No | No | No | |
Possible enemy fighter 1 | | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
Possible enemy fighter 2 | | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
Possible enemy fighter 3 | | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
Possible enemy fighter 4 | | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
Possible enemy fighter 5 | | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
Local authorities | | Yes | No | No | No | No | |
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Worksheet 3: An Actor’s Actions and Tactics
The next step in the tactical analysis of a situation focuses on the tactics, and similarly differentiates significant from insignificant actions, using Worksheet 3: An Actor’s Actions and Tactics. There are a number of actions on the part of each significant actor. Those actions may be tactics, i.e. relevant to the strategy, or not. In order to be tactics, they must directly or indirectly move the situation towards the goal being achieved. Tactics themselves may prevent the goal from being achieved or the strategy from being successful, i.e. they can be key tactics. Which of these actions are relevant to the achievement of the goal? In what situations is that unclear? If it is possible that the tactic is relevant to the goal, include it. Better to include too many than to miss some critical aspect of the strategy, which will come back later to haunt you. If you are pressed for time, list the tactics of which you are unsure, but just analyze the tactics that you are certain are relevant. If your analysis later turns out to be incomplete, you will be able to start again from this point.
Worksheet 3: An Actor’s Actions and Tactics
Actor: ___________________ ڤ individual ڤgroup
Time/Date | Action | Detailed Description | Is this a tactic? | Is a response necessary? |
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Column 1: give the date and time of the action you are analyzing. During the first draft, you can list actions as you remember them, but in later draft it is helpful to list them chronologically. Only if more than one action takes place on a particular day do you need to list the time.
Column 2: give a title to the action you are analyzing.
Column 3: give a detailed description of the action you are describing. Use point form rather than full sentences: this will help focus on the most important features of the action.
Column 4: an action is a tactic if it is relevant to the achievement of the goal identified in the strategy. If the answer to the question: “Does this affect reaching my goal in any way?” is yes, than the action is a tactic. Only if the answer is “yes” do you proceed to Column 5.
Column 5: if the action is a tactic, i.e. if it is relevant to the strategy, then it may or may not require a response. In other words, did the tactic have an effect that was bad for your chances of achieving your strategy? If so, a response is necessary and the answer is ‘yes.’ If the tactic may have had an effect that was bad for your chances of achieving your strategy, then a response is necessary and the answer is ‘yes.’ Whether an effective response is possible is a question for a later worksheet.
Sample Worksheet 3: An Actor’s Actions and Tactics
Actor: prisoner ڤ individual ڤgroup
Time/Date | Action | Detailed Description | Is this a tactic? | Is a response necessary? |
1st day of capture, 6 pm | smokes | Asks for a cigarette, is given a cigarette by a soldier, has cigarette lit, squats down, smokes cigarette | no | |
1st day of capture, 3 pm | Drinks water | Tries to drink water from a stream, is stopped by soldier, asks for water, is given a bottle of water, unscrews the cap, drinks entire contents, screws cap back on, returns bottle to soldier | No | |
1st day of capture, 6:30 pm | Eats dinner | Is given vegetarian rations and plastic fork, unwraps rations, opens plastic box, uses fork to taste food, grimaces and complains, eats remainder, gives back fork and food wraps to soldier | No | |
1st day of capture, on and off | Observes his captors | Squats down and watches soldiers go about the task of setting up camp and other duties | Yes | No |
1st day of capture, 6 pm | Observes the soldiers assigned specifically to guard him | Squats down and watches the soldier specifically guarding him | Yes | No |
1st day of capture, 8 pm | Tries to cut his hand restraints | While soldier guarding him turns away for a moment, tries to cut the plastic restraints on his hands on a sharp rock; stops when soldier turns back towards him | Yes | Yes |
Worksheet 4: Resources A Strategy Can Draw On
The third step is the identification of resources, using Worksheet 4: Resources A Strategy Can Draw On. Put at its broadest, resources which make tactics possible are generated by “the symbolic experiences, mythic lore, and ritual practices of a group or society [that] create moods and motivations, ways of organizing experience and evaluating reality, modes of regulating conduct, and way of forming social bonds”. Conventional wisdom usually finds that money is the most important resource, and it can certainly be a severely limiting factor. Much more scarce and harder to increase is the attention and good will of people with power. It is also much easier to squander inadvertently. The four general types of resources discussed below are: the right equipment, the right people, time, and information.
There are two categories of equipment and materiel: equipment you have, in which case the issue is deciding how to use it; and equipment you do not have, in which case the issue is finding it and justifying it. First, you need to decide how much and what kind of equipment you actually need. There are three types of equipment or materiel that you may need: those that are essential to success, those that would make a significant difference to success, and those that would be nice, but are not sure to make a significant difference to success. There are also things that affect politicians, who control the purse strings of the overall operations, which you may include here. You have to be pragmatic: some equipment may not be as important as you think.
Although more ink is spilled and meetings held on money and money-related issues than anything else, the most important resource is human: skills, energy, numbers. The first step is to establish what skills are useful, and then scan for them among the significant actors. Among the non-technical skills that may be needed are: command, writing, speaking, planning, research, tactical analysis, strategic analysis, forecasting, calm under pressure, good judgment, integrity, courage. Resources can be finite or limitless, helpful or neutral, essential or critical (or not) to the success of a tactic. Worksheet 4: Resources A Strategy Can Draw On should be filled out listing as many of the resources as possible.
Worksheet 4: Resources a Strategy Can Draw On
Resource | Effect on tactic | Limited? | Helpful? | Essential? |
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Column 1: List here all the materials, services, people (beyond the people who are carrying out the strategy with your), information, and funds that you need to achieve your goal. The list should be comprehensive, i.e. it should include absolutely everything you will need. In order to increase the chances of writing a comprehensive list, it is helpful to look at categories of resources, so that you are less likely to forget anything. You may use as categories materials, services, people, information and funds. You may also develop categories that are specific to your situation, as has been done in sample worksheet 4.
Column 2: here, describe the effect that a particular resource has on the tactic you are considering applying next. For example, if the squad leader in the example given already is considering whether to use lights or not, he needs to think about the power source for those lights and whether it is renewable or if there is enough non-renewable power source for his light.
The next three columns are answered ‘yes’ or ‘no.’
Column 3: is the resource being analyzed in this line limited or not? Is there a specific amount of it available, or is there plenty of it around? For example, if the squad leader needs water for soldiers to wash some equipment, and the camp is near a river, then that water resource is not limited. If, on the other hand, the squad leader is considering whether to allow lights, and the lamps are all kerosene, the amount of kerosene he has with him is limited. He may have enough for his foreseeable needs, or even more than his foreseeable needs, but it is still a specific amount available. Whether the resource is limited or not is an important point for carrying out the strategy. The strategist needs to take into account the limited resources as the strategy unfolds.
Column 4: Is the resource being analyzed helpful to the goal being reached? Is it something that will move the strategy forward? If so, the answer is yes. For example, having fuel for vehicles will definitely move the squad leader’s strategy of bringing his prisoner back to the military base forward. The same can be true of a number of resources. Whether soldiers have recreational reading with them does not directly move the strategy about the prisoner forward. The answer then would be no. Only for those resources with the answer ‘yes’ in this column need to be analyzed further.
Column 5: If the answer in the previous column is yes, then it is necessary to analyze the resource further. Here, ask yourself whether the resource being analyzed is absolutely necessary for reaching the goal, whether if there is none of this particular resource left you could still achieve the goal. If so, then you may write ‘yes’ in this column. If the squad leader runs out of fuel for his vehicles, he can still walk to base and reach his mission. There would be considerably more danger involved, but it would still be possible. So the answer here would be no. However, if the squad leader were to run out of ammunition and continued to encounter enemy fighters, then it would become impossible to carry out the strategy because the enemy fighters would kill everyone in the squad. Whether the resource is limited or not is an important point for carrying out the strategy, but if it is an essential resource, then the strategist has to put it at the highest priority.
Sample Worksheet 4: Resources A Strategy Can Draw On
This list is an illustration of the type of analysis that needs to be done; it is not a complete list of resources necessary.
Resource | Effect on tactic | Finite? | Helpful? | Essential? |
Water for equipment | N | N | Y | N |
Fuel for lamps | Y | Y | Y | N |
Food | N | Y | Y | Y |
Drinking water | N | Y | Y | Y |
Ammunition | N | Y | Y | Y |
Fuel for vehicles | N | Y | Y | N |
Spare parts for vehicles | N | Y | Y | N |
Change of clothes | N | Y | Y | N |
Medication for cuts | N | Y | Y | N |
Medication for illness | N | Y | Y | N |
Bandages | N | Y | Y | N |
Spare parts for weapons | N | Y | Y | Y |
Worksheet 5: Rules of the Game
The fifth step in the tactical analysis requires an examination of the rules that form a system. A system is a coherent whole of processes or practices that are organized or institutionalized; it sometimes takes the form of a combination of rules that produce a predictable effect on the outcome. The role of a system is to ensure a defined function or role, or guarantee the production of a particular result. Such systems can be helpful or not, essential or not, to the outcome of the strategy. They are particularly critical when it comes to fourth generation warfare. You are operating in a heavily constrained environment, and not all the rules are written down, let alone known. Systems can be either formal or informal, and they may be incomplete; if you are dealing with hostiles, these rules may not be obvious although yours will be to them. Systems are enforced through sanctions, so one way to spot informal systems is to watch for behavior changes among the hostile actors, and then look for the factors that led to the modification. If there were sanctions, then you are on the right track. Sanctions tend to be obvious, even if the system leading to them is not.
Systems can affect actions, be they tactics, the management of resources, or strategies. Systems can also affect the significance of actions. In addition to the considerable formal rules, which are easy to identify, at least, there can be informal rules to consider, governing ethics or choices of allocation of scarce resources. There could be local cultural practices which may have to be taken into consideration. Worksheet 5: Inventory of Rules, lists the rules of the system, and their analysis.
Worksheet 5: Rules of the Game
Rule | Description | Formal (yes/no)? | Helpful (yes/no)? | Essential (yes/no)? |
Actions | | | | |
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People | | | | |
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Resources | | | | |
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Time management | | | | |
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Cultural etc. factors | | | | |
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Intelligence | | | | |
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Attitude towards casualties | | | | |
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Other rules | | | | |
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Column 1: List here all the formal and informal rules about materials, services, people (beyond the people who are carrying out the strategy with your), information, and funds that you need to achieve your goal. The list should be comprehensive, i.e. it should include absolutely everything you will need. In order to increase the chances of writing a comprehensive list, it is helpful to look at categories of rules, listed above, so that you are less likely to forget anything. You may use as categories materials, services, people, information and funds. You may also develop categories that are specific to your situation, as has been done in sample worksheet 5.
Column 2: here, describe the effect that a particular rule has on the tactic you are considering applying next. Rules constrain behavior, but it is important to be aware of how and why each rule constrains which behavior or action. For example, if the squad leader in the example given already is considering whether to withhold medical care from a prisoner or not, he needs to think about the rules governing prisoners of war and enemy fighters. The squad leader also needs to consider whether his conscience or culture provides him with rules in this situation.
The next three columns are answered ‘yes’ or ‘no.’
Column 3: is the rule being analyzed in this line formal or not? Would infringing this rule have consequences in the near- or long-term? For example, if the squad leader has more need of medical care than he has resources to meet that need, is he within his rights to withhold medical care from the prisoner? Or does that prisoner come first? Or should he make his decision, as best he can, on the basis of medical need? What are his orders in this regard? What are the general orders on this matter? Do the Geneva conventions on treatment of prisoners of war apply? Do any other international conventions apply? To make this decision and so many others, the squad leader needs to understand the rules applying to his situation. The strategist needs to take into account the rules as the strategy unfolds.
Column 4: Is the rule being analyzed helpful to the goal being reached? Is it something that will move the strategy forward? If so, the answer is yes. For example, there may be standing orders not to execute prisoners on the spot, but to return them to camp. If the squad leader’s strategy is to bring the prisoner back for interrogation, then the order or rule is helpful. Some rules may simply be irrelevant: for example, there may be rules regarding environmental protection and the river nearby, but if there are no fuel spills during the encampment, then the rules about how to deal with that do not apply. The same can be true of a number of rules. For example, there may be standing orders regarding the use of personal laptops. But if no soldiers are carrying them during the patrol, those rules are simply irrelevant. The answer then would be no. Only for those resources with the answer ‘yes’ in this column need to be analyzed further.
Column 5: If the answer in the previous column is yes, then it is necessary to analyze the rule further. Here, ask yourself whether the rule being analyzed is absolutely necessary for reaching the goal, whether if this rule is broken or ignored, whether you could still achieve the goal. If so, then you may write ‘yes’ in this column. For example, if the squad leader ignores a fuel spill because his patrol comes under enemy fire, he can still get his patrol and his prisoner back to the base. There could be consequences for that squad leader, but reaching the goal is still possible. So the answer would be no. However, if the squad leader were to deny medical care to the prisonner, and the prisoner were to die from it, the goal would not be achieved and the consequences for the squad leader would still occur. For those rules, then the strategist has to put it at the highest priority.
Sample Worksheet 5: Inventory of Rules
This list is an illustration of the type of analysis that needs to be done; it is not a complete list of rules necessary
Rule | Description | Formal (yes/no)? | Helpful (yes/no)? | Essential (yes/no)? |
Geneva conventions | International treaty regarding the treatment of civilians in war and prisoners of war | y | y | N |
Procedures regarding patrol | How to conduct a patrol in unknown and possibly hostile territory | y | y | Y |
Specific orders regarding patrol | Objectives for that specific patrol, such as traveling in a particular area, watching for particular activities, etc. | N | y | Y |
Standing orders regarding prisoners | Procedures regarding how to restrain, guard, interrogate, and generally treat prisoners | Y | y | N |
Standing orders regarding fuel spills contaminating water | Procedures and regulations about how to deal with the spill of various types of fuel in to various types of bodies of water | Y | y | N |
Moral imperatives regarding treatment of another human being | Expectations, values, and principles about humanity instilled by culture and association | N | y | y |
Procedures regarding allocation of medical care | Guidance for behavior in making decisions about who gets what kind of medical care when, including various types of individuals who may be in the charge of a squad leader | y | y | y |
Worksheet 6: All Other Factors
The fourth step in tactical analysis is to analyze what factors favor or work against your tactical or strategic goal. Among these factors are forces, trends, or events that affect the outcome, which you can list in Worksheet 5: All Other Factors. Factors may not be in anyone’s control or necessarily predictable: there could be a sudden storm, a stock market could crash and destabilize the economy, a new virus could emerge, someone important might suddenly die or become disabled, a fanatic might call on the population to rise. The only way to identify these factors is to scan the environment in which your tactic will take place. To avoid missing any factors, it is better to divide the relevant environment spatially, temporally or functionally into different sectors and then scan each sector. The environment could be divided up spatially, temporally, or functionally. It is also possible to divide up the environment according the major players involved in the strategy or tactic.
Worksheet 6: All Other Factors
Desired Strategic Outcome: ___________________________
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Driving Factors → ←Restraining Factors
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The desired strategic outcome is the goal listed in the strategy. These may include goals drawn from a variety of categories, or can be very simple. Among the categories from which goals may be drawn are: complete elimination of hostile actors, complete elimination of fatalities of civilians, complete elimination of fatalities of military, complete elimination of fatalities of civilians and military, complete elimination of casualties of civilians, complete elimination of casualties of civilians, elimination of both civilian and military casualties, instauration of rule of law everywhere, instauration of rule of law in rural areas, instauration of rule of law in cities, instauration rule of law in some sectors, instauration of rule democratic institutions everywhere, instauration of democratic institutions in rural areas, instauration of democratic institutions in cities, instauration of democratic institutions in some sectors, and others. In the case of our ongoing example, the squad leader’s goal is simply to return to base or base camp with the prisoner.
Driving factors may include public anxiety, political pressure, or threats in other locations. In the case of our ongoing example, the squad leader would have no control over the weather. Certain types of weather could be favorable, such as preventing attacks from the air, or other types of weather might make the patrol’s work more difficult, such as rain so intense it washes out roads and turns creeks that could be crossed into torrents that could not be crossed. Restraining factors in a broader military situation may include budget constraints, lack of information, few effective measures, lack of guides, lack of guidelines, and lack of experience.
Sample Worksheet 6: All Other Factors
Desired Strategic Outcome: returning to camp with prisoner alive
→→→→→→→→→→→→→→→→→→→→→→→
Driving Factors → ←Restraining Factors
Favorable weather → ←lack of experience
Popular expectations → ←lack of information
threats in other locations → ←lack of applicable procedures, orders
Worksheet 7: Strategic Pathway
The strategic pathway is the succession of steps which are likeliest to lead to the achievement of the goal, for a particular tactic. It can be identified using a three-step process: first, all possible steps to the goal are identified; second, the significant steps out of all the possible ones are identified; third, the critical steps are identified. The strategic pathway is made up of the critical steps, i.e. strategic nodes.
Worksheet 7: Steps and Nodes, asks the questions relevant to the first part. What are the steps to achieving the goal? For each step, what are the alternative steps that can also lead to goal? What are the scenarios you can think of that will achieve the goal? Who decides? Who has the power to make the changes? What are the other possibilities? Are any of the alternatives more effective? Economical, not just in terms of money, but also in terms of other resources? Likely to succeed? What arguments are convincing to those who decide? What factors affect the decisions of those who decide? If you were to work backwards, how would you set the steps?
Worksheet 7 also assists in identifying the strategic nodes. Among the questions are: What are the critical actors, actions, resources, rules? Where are they situated on in relationship to another? Draw a picture of the relationships and locations. For every critical location, draw a big red circle. That is a strategic node. Then compare to your tactical plan. Are you focused on those nodes? Are you concentrating your efforts there? How does this change your own planning to reach your goals?
Worksheet 7: Steps and Nodes
Strategic Goal: __________________________________
Pathway 1 Alternative 1 Alternative 2
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STRATEGIC GOAL
Circle nodes on each pathway.
The strategic goal is the goal that is given in the strategy from worksheet 1.
In the first column, write out each of the steps necessary to reach the goal, in sequence. This first column is for reaching the goal with no surprises or problems. You must fill in the steps until you reach your goal. Each step should represent a single tactic or action contributing to your goal. You need to list all the steps necessary to reach your goal. Next, you need to identify which steps are absolutely essential to your reaching your goal. Consider each step in turn, and ask yourself whether it would still be possible to reach the goal if you failed at this step. If the answer is ‘yes’, then you can circle that step. That is a strategic node, and you need to develop alternatives to make sure that you get beyond that step.
In the middle column, write alternative steps to reach the goal for each of the problems you can anticipate at a strategic node. If at any point your pathway starts to be the same as in column 1, then just draw an arrow returning to that step. Next, you need to identify which steps are absolutely essential to your reaching your goal. Consider each step in turn, and ask yourself whether it would still be possible to reach the goal if you failed at this step. If the answer is ‘yes’, then you can circle that step. That is again a strategic node, and you need to develop an alternative to make sure you get past it.
In the right-hand column, fill in the steps to reach your goal if another set of problems occurs after what you have predicted in the middle column. Again, fill in the steps until you reach the goal, and if at any point your pathway starts to be the same as in the middle or left-hand column, then just draw an arrow returning to that step. You may use more than one copy of the worksheet if necessary. Remember to number the worksheets sequentially if you do that.
In the example given, the patrol struggle to get the prisoner back to base camp. On the way back, one of the vehicles gets a flat tire, and then the patrol comes under enemy fire. The squad leader deals with each situation, and adapts the pathway to return to base camp with his prisoner.
Worksheet 7: Steps and Nodes
Strategic Goal: _____getting prisoner back to camp_______
Pathway 1 Alternative 1 Alternative 2
Assign guards to prisoner …………………………… _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
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Travel 20 km on first day Travel 12 km on first day _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
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Set up camp for night Vehicle gets flat tire _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
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Travel 20 km on second day Set up camp for day/night _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
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Set up camp for second night Repair flat _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
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Travel 10 km to base camp Travel 20 km on second day Travel 5 km on second day
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______________________ Set up camp for second night Come under enemy fire
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______________________ Travel 18 km to base camp Radio for air support
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______________________ …………………………… Return fire
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______________________ …………………………… Travel 10 km more
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______________________ …………………………… Set up camp for second night
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______________________ …………………………… Travel 20 km on third day
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______________________ …………………………… Set up camp for third night
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______________________ …………………………… Travel 15 km to base camp
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STRATEGIC GOAL
Circle nodes on each pathway.
Worksheet 8: Tactics and Counter Tactics
In designing a response to a tactic, retrace the steps of tactical analysis, using the same sequence of worksheets and instructions as above. Countervailing tactics designed within the framework of a broader strategy are called strategic intervention, and some general rules apply.
- Choose the tactics to which you must respond.
- Choose the earliest possible moment in the decision making process.
- Choose only key actors.
- Brainstorm the possible actions without prejudging your own or others’ ideas, but then assess them as carefully as if they were other actor’s.
- Initially choose only four possible actions, and assess the cost and benefits of each.
Once the analysis is completed, select tactics for their economy and maximum benefits. If that is not apparent, it is possible to develop multiple scenarios for outcomes, depending on how favorable various factors are to the tactic, using Worksheet 10: Countervailing Tactics. Questions to ask in terms of this latest worksheet include: Who decides? Who has the power to make the changes? What are the other possibilities? Are any of the alternatives more effective? Economical in terms of personnel, equipment, casualties? Who is likely to succeed? What arguments are convincing to those who decide? What factors affect the decisions of those who decide? If you were to work backwards, how would you set the steps? For the next phase, start with steps, then actors, then factors, then resources, then actions/tactics, then at last rules for system analysis?
Worksheet 8: Tactics and Counter Tactics
Issue: ___________________________
Goal: _______________ Goal:_________________
Tactics ► ◄Countervailing Tactics
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The issue listed at the top of the worksheet is the issue identified in the first worksheet, the problem on which you are working. The two columns represent the tactics of two actors. On the left is one actor, which can be you, and on the right is another actor who does not share the same strategic goal. For each actor, the strategic goal is identified in the first worksheet. The goals need not be contradictory: they need only not be identical. Under the heading Tactics, on the left, list all the actions that move that actor towards the strategic goal chosen. Under the heading Countervailing Tactics, on the right, list all the actions that move that actor towards the other strategic goal chosen. The tactics and counter tactics do not have to match up, although many of them will. The list on each side needs to be complete, so that it may be useful to use categories of tactics to make sure you are not missing any.
Sample Worksheet 8: Tactics and Counter Tactics
Issue: returning prisoner to base camp
Goal: returning to base camp Goal: prisoner seeks to escape
Tactics ► ◄Countervailing Tactics
Assigns guard ► ◄Observes guard
Ties up prisoner’s hands ► ◄Tries to free hands
Gives prisoner medical care ► ◄Observes all soldiers
Gives prisoner food and water► ◄Eats, drinks to keep up strength
Worksheet 9: Core Idea
Because coming up with a core idea is often the most difficult part of the exercise, there is a short worksheet that can be completed quickly that will stimulate the thinking of the participants. This worksheet is designed to force the participant to start thinking beyond the rational, linear model that has served him/her so far so well. The goal of the worksheet is to get the process of thinking metaphorically established, and then to give the participant some practice. It is deliberately simple to foster and focus thinking with strategy including mètis. The sample worksheet is being completed with the same task as set out above, setting up camp for the night. Not all the metaphors are actually practical or helpful. The point is to produce a number of them so that the participant can then develop the capacity to judge which are better or more practical.
Worksheet 9: Core Idea
Category | Suggested Metaphors, Images, Analogies, Role Models | Your Metaphors, Images, Role Models, Analogies | Core Idea |
Military | Machine gun, rifle, tank | | |
Geographical | river, waterfall, creek | | |
Plant | tree, fern, Venus flytrap | | |
Transportation | bus, golf cart, car | | |
Sports | Caddy, gymnast, football | | |
Mechanical | wrench, Allen key, ratchet | | |
Insects | mosquito, ant, butterfly | | |
Animals | cougar, puma, rhinoceros | | |
Role models | Princess Diana, Donald Trump, Gandhi | | |
Your own category: | Your own metaphors: | |
Category | Suggested Metaphors, Images, Analogies | Your Metaphors, Images, Slogans, Analogies | Core Idea |
In the third column, list the metaphors, images, role models or images that come to your mind that fit the same category. In the fourth column, chose one image or metaphor and work it into a slogan that captures how you want to achieve your goal. Repeat these steps for the other categories. At the bottom of the page is a blank space for you to write in a category of images and metaphors that come to mind during this phase of your thinking. Then list the images or metaphors that come to mind, and then develop a slogan using that metaphor or image.
When the worksheet is completed, you will then have several possible core ideas to choose from for your strategy.
Sample Worksheet 9: Core Idea
Category | Analogies, Metaphors, Images, Role Models | Your own analogies, metaphors, images, role models | Core ideas |
Military | machine gun, rifle, tank | battalion, submarine, armoured personnel carrier | Work together like a c-3 gun and a shell |
Geographical | river, waterfall, creek | Mountain, plateau, desert | A 24-hour oasis |
Plant | tree, fern, Venus flytrap | Flower, tomato, potato | Let’s close up camp like one of those evening prayer plants |
Transportation | bus, golf cart, car | Truck, walking, running, bicycle | Let’s make our break like a cruise ship for the night |
Sports | Caddy, gymnast, football | Soccer, tennis, ping pong | |
Mechanical | wrench, Allen key, ratchet | Silicone gun, screwdriver | |
Insects | mosquito, ant, butterfly | Bee, wasp, slug | Let’s circle around the queen bee |
Animals | cougar, puma, rhinoceros | Tiger, lion, gazelle, turtle | |
Role models | Princess Diana, Donald Trump, Gandhi | Mother Theresa, Montgomery of Alamein | |
Your own category: jobs | Your own metaphors: Teacher, nurse, babysitter, accountant, bodyguard | | |
Worksheet 10: Integration Diary
The integration diary’s goal is to help the participant become aware of how s/he learns, so that s/he eventually will be able to become a better learner regarding counterinsurgency. The report is structure to bring the participant to increasing levels of abstraction, i.e. it provides an additional chance to experience telescoping. The form is supposed to be completed in point form only, so that the participant works with individual ideas and concepts, rather than having the chance to be descriptive. The diary must be completed in the space provided to force the participant to choose among various possibilities, and therefore learn what priorities on which to focus. There are no right or wrong answers for this, or any other, worksheet. The point is to make explicit the processes of the participant’s learning.
Worksheet 10: Integration Diary
Topic of Report: | In my view the important components are: | Because: |
Links with previous learning about strategic thinking: | My thoughts about this topic are: | |
I have a better understanding of: | I am more effective at: | I am more likely to: |
I want to learn more about: | What I can use… | where? |
Topic of report this is the specific aspect that the participant wishes to analyze in greater detail. There should be only one topic, for example: counterinsurgency, not ‘counterinsurgency and planning.’ The topic should be specific rather than vague. The topic should also be at the same level of generality as the rest of the content of the worksheet.
In my view, the important components are: here, the participant should break down the topic of his/her choice into components. This process should continue until it is no longer possible to break the topic down any further. The participant then selects the components which will be discussed in the worksheet. Not all components will be analyzed.
Because: Here the participants gives the reasons why the components selected are important enough to continue to work with. Here the participant must select priorities once again, explicitly. This process occurs in everyday life, but it is not explicit.
Links with previous learning in strategic thinking: here, the participant must think over what s/he has learned about strategic thinking in the past, and identify where the topic under consideration connects with what s/he already knows.
My thoughts about this topic are: the reason for this box is that the participant will have a wide range of reactions to the learning that has just occurred. This box allows him/her to make those thoughts explicit, and also to provide him/her with the opportunity to set them aside for future consideration, if necessary. The participant is now less encumbered with other thoughts to continue the analysis.
I have a better understanding of: for the learning to be genuine, there has to be a greater comprehension of some, possibly several, phenomena. In this box, the participant is expected to provide at least one of these.
I am more effective at: for the learning to be genuine, there has to be a change in behavior. That change can be either an improvement in an existing behavior, or a change in the probability that a particular action or course of action will be chosen. In this box, the participant is expected to list at least one such improvement.
I am more likely to: for the learning to be genuine, there has to be a change in behavior. Sometimes that behavior is mental or psychological. That change can ebe either an improvement in an existing behavior, or a change in the probability that a particular action or course of action will be chosen. In this box, the participant is expected to list at least one such change in probability.
In the last three boxes, the participant must become very specific and concrete about what the learning has done for him/her.
I want to learn more about: learning is a chain, and in an earlier box the participant was required to identify what previous learning on this topic s/he had done. Here, the participant must identify what s/he would most want to study next.
What I can use: of the learning that has occurred and has been identified, the participant must now select what has practical or immediate applications in his/her responsibilities or life. In this box, the participant must identify the elements of learning that he can actually apply.
Where? Of the learning that has occurred and has been identified, the participant must now specify what applications exist for the elements of learning that s/he has identified. It is important for participants to be as specific as possible.
Sample Worksheet 10: Integration Diary
Topic of Report: telescoping | In my view the important components are: Levels of abstraction Changing levels of abstraction Obstacles to changing levels | Because: This is the crux of the task to be done This is the skill I have to learn or develop This is what I have to overcome |
Links with previous learning about strategic thinking: Old definition of strategy Old definition of tactics | My thoughts about this topic are: Limits to what I can learn in a single day Why hasn’t mètis been discussed before anywhere? | Unsure of how much I can actually telescope Confused about the way I’m being trained here |
I have a better understanding of: How this can help me understand insurgents | I am more effective at: Picking out fellow soldiers who can do this metis | I am more likely to: take into account who is a strategic corporal and who isn’t when I plan |
I want to learn more about: How insurgents think | What I can use… The test | where? With soldiers in my unit when we deploy |